earlier estimate of Rs 1,32,552 crore.
Bansal is betting that freight volume for next year would rise to 1047 metric tonnes, freight earnings to Rs 93,554 crore, passenger earnings to Rs 42,210 crore. Gross traffic receipts are seen at Rs 1.43 lakh crore. Many see the passenger earnings target (+ 29 percent) as a bit too optimistic, unless the railways manages to hike fares during the course of the election year, which is a difficult proposition.
The hike in fares in January is expected to add around Rs 6600 crore to the Railways kitty in FY14. But much of that has already been neutralized by an increase of Rs 3300 crore in fuel bill in January alone.
And Railway equipment makers are not too enthused about the expansion targets for the coming year.
The target of 700 km of new lines in the current year had to be scaled down to 470 km due to inadequate resources, and the target for FY14 has been set at 500 km. The target of 800 km for gauge conversion fixed for 2012-13 has been scaled down to 575 km, and the target for FY14 is 450 km. The only positive development has been in the doubling of tracks where the target of 700 km for FY13 is expected to be exceeded and the target for next year is 750 km.
For the coming fiscal, a plan investment of Rs 63,363 crore has been outlined. The Plan is proposed to be financed through gross budgetary support of Rs 26,000 crore, Railways share in Road Safety Fund of Rs 2,000 crore, internal resources of Rs 14,260 crore, market borrowings of Rs 15,103 cr and an expected mobilization of Rs 6,000 cr through the private public partnership route.
Operating ratio is expected to improve to 87.8 percent in FY14 from the Revised Estimate of 88.8 percent for FY13, and Bansal is hopeful of closing next year with a balance of Rs 12,506 cr in the Railway Funds.